Ewers, R.M., Scharlemann, J.P.W., Balmford, A., Green, R.E. (2009). Do Increases in Agricultural Yield Spare Land for Nature?. Cambridge, UK. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01849.x
Feeding a rapidly expanding human population will require a large increase in the supply of agricultural products during the coming decades. This may lead to the transformation of many landscapes from natural vegetation cover to agricultural land use, unless increases in crop yields reduce the need for new farmland. Here, we assess the evidence that past increases in agricultural yield have spared land for wild nature. We investigated the relationship between the change in the combined energy yield of the 23 most energetically important food crops over the period 1979-1999 and the change in per capita cropland area for 124 countries over the same period.Our results show that land-sparing is a weak process that occurs under a limited set of circumstances, but that it can have positive outcomes for the conservation of wild nature.